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2022-06-12 07:59:54

The Bayesian ConspiracySkip to contentHomeAbout Us/ContactArchiveNurses on Young PeopleCommision a Sequence ReadMerch!Thank You Wall← Older postsThe Conspiracy Welcomes YouPosted on January 3, 2017 by BayesianAdminWe now have a Patreon page!And a Merch store?? Can this timeline get any better?Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? There’s also a subreddit.Posted in Uncategorized|1 Comment163 – Effective AestheticsPosted on May 31, 2022 by BayesianAdminhttp://media.blubrry.com/thebayesianconspiracy/p/www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/wp-content/uploads/episodes/Bayesian_Conspiracy_163.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | DownloadSubscribe: RSSÉtienne Fortier-Dubois argues that Effective Altruism has an Aesthetics problemBut first! Some extended listener feedbackNuclear War is A-OK if you’re Russian State TVThree Bodies At MitaniA Guide To Asking Robots To Design Stained Glass Windows00:42  Abortion Clarification & Jace’s Addition14:15  Best Purchase Ever27:24  Main Topic: Effective Altruism’s Neglect of Aesthetics1:19:09  LW posts1:36:37  Thank the PatronHey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?Also merch!Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcastLessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:Guardians of Ayn RandThe Litany Against GurusPolitics and Awful ArtNext Episode’s Sequence Posts:Two Cult KoansFalse LaughterPosted in Uncategorized|Leave a comment162 – Roe No Mo’Posted on May 18, 2022 by BayesianAdminhttp://media.blubrry.com/thebayesianconspiracy/p/www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/wp-content/uploads/episodes/Bayesian_Conspiracy_162.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | DownloadSubscribe: RSSRoe v Wade is going away. This sucks, but it’s not the end of the world.Polls show most Americans support allowing abortion in the first weeks, banning it in the last trimester.In state’s where it’s legal, one can have a self-managed abortion.AidAccess is available to help. Services like ipostal1 will forward mail from other states.Misoprostol is relatively easy to acquire from veterinary sources.Eneasz is unhappy with Kamala Harris1:08:13  LW posts1:15:40  Thank the PatronHey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?Also merch!Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcastLessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:Guardians of the TruthGuardians of the Gene PoolNext Episode’s Sequence Posts:Guardians of Ayn RandThe Litany Against GurusPosted in Uncategorized|1 Comment161 – Restoring the Kingdom of Hawai’iPosted on May 4, 2022 by BayesianAdminhttp://media.blubrry.com/thebayesianconspiracy/p/www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/wp-content/uploads/episodes/Bayesian_Conspiracy_161.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | DownloadSubscribe: RSSNot long ago, Hawai’i was a constitutional monarchy. A lot of Hawaiian residents want that restored. Travis Don Kailikea Paradea takes us through what happened, and what’s going down now.Recommended by Travis:The Legends and Myths of HawaiiThe Rise and Fall of the Hawaiian Kingdom: A Pictorial HistoryUnfamiliar FishesWeblog of the acting government of the Hawaiian Kingdom1:17:57  LW posts1:25:44  Thank the PatronHey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?Also merch!Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcastLessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:Argument Screens Off AuthorityHug the QueryNext Episode’s Sequence Posts:Guardians of the TruthGuardians of the Gene PoolPosted in Uncategorized|Leave a comment160 – GAI is ImminentPosted on April 20, 2022 by BayesianAdminhttp://media.blubrry.com/thebayesianconspiracy/p/www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/wp-content/uploads/episodes/Bayesian_Conspiracy_160.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | DownloadSubscribe: RSSFour Major AI Advancements In One Week!New Scaling Laws for Large Language Models – essentially everyone has been training large language models with a deeply suboptimal use of computeGoogles Pathways Language Model explains jokes, and it can distinguish cause and effect and understand counterfactualsDALL-E 2 makes amazing art on demandSocratic Modeling system1:39:51  LW postsAlso mentioned:Overcoming Bias: AI Language ProgressWhat an actually pessimistic containment strategy looks likeGithub CopilotAnthropic AIThe Mind KillerHey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?Also merch!Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcastLessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:Every Cause Wants To Be A CultReversed Stupidity Is Not IntelligenceNext Episode’s Sequence Posts:Argument Screens Off AuthorityHug the Query(edit: misspellings is how we prove we aren’t AIs :P)Posted in Uncategorized|Leave a comment159 – Cryonics Concerns, and Theses On SleepPosted on April 6, 2022 by BayesianAdminhttp://media.blubrry.com/thebayesianconspiracy/p/www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/wp-content/uploads/episodes/Bayesian_Conspiracy_159.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | DownloadSubscribe: RSSWe address theoretical cryonics concerns, and discuss Guzey’s Theses On Sleep3:15  Cryonics Concerns49:21  Theses On Sleep1:23:01  LW posts1:50:16  Thank the PatronAlso mentioned:LW Cryonics Probability Estimates guideOur episode with Rudy HoffmanLifespan podcastLimitless w Chris HemsworthCounter-theses on SleepScott Alexander’s Sleep Is The Mate Of DeathCryonics Insitute FAQ and info re transportation servicesHey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?Also merch!Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcastLessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:Evaporative Cooling of Group BeliefsWhen None Dare Urge RestraintThe Robbers Cave ExperimentNext Episode’s Sequence Posts:Every Cause Wants To Be A CultReversed Stupidity Is Not IntelligencePosted in Uncategorized|Leave a commentMonarchy Reactions – post Episode 158 discussion (Teaser)Posted on March 27, 2022 by BayesianAdminhttp://media.blubrry.com/thebayesianconspiracy/p/www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/wp-content/uploads/episodes/Monarchy_Reactions_Teaser.mp3Podcast: Play in new window | DownloadSubscribe: RSSThe Conspirators regroup to discuss if/how their views on monarchy have changed.The full episode is available for our PatronsMentioned:List of Current States With MonarchsCGP Gray’s Rules for Rulers (Keys of Power)Tears For Fears – Everybody Wants To Rule The World (warning – crappy 80s song)Posted in Uncategorized|Leave a comment← Older postsRecent Posts163 – Effective Aesthetics162 – Roe No Mo’161 – Restoring the Kingdom of Hawai’i160 – GAI is Imminent159 – Cryonics Concerns, and Theses On SleepRecent CommentsHow They/Them Hurts - Death Is Bad on 103 – Radical HonestyHow They/Them Hurts - Death Is Bad on 7 – Kill All Humans?Not Everything Is A Clue – Ch 217-220 – The Methods of Rationality Podcast on 162 – Roe No Mo’Not Everything Is A Clue – Ch 206-208 – The Methods of Rationality Podcast on 142 – Do ThisNot Everything Is A Clue – Ch 200-202 – The Methods of Rationality Podcast on 158 – Can Monarchy Save Us From Fascism?ArchivesArchivesSelect Month May 2022 April 2022 March 2022 February 2022 January 2022 December 2021 November 2021 October 2021 September 2021 August 2021 July 2021 June 2021 May 2021 April 2021 March 2021 February 2021 January 2021 December 2020 November 2020 October 2020 September 2020 August 2020 July 2020 June 2020 May 2020 April 2020 March 2020 February 2020 January 2020 December 2019 November 2019 October 2019 September 2019 August 2019 July 2019 June 2019 May 2019 April 2019 March 2019 February 2019 January 2019 December 2018 November 2018 October 2018 September 2018 August 2018 July 2018 June 2018 May 2018 April 2018 March 2018 February 2018 January 2018 December 2017 November 2017 October 2017 September 2017 August 2017 July 2017 June 2017 May 2017 April 2017 March 2017 February 2017 January 2017 December 2016 November 2016 October 2016 September 2016 August 2016 July 2016 June 2016 May 2016 April 2016 March 2016 February 2016 January 2016 FeedsRSS FeedItunesEmail SubscriptionThe Bayesian ConspiracyProudly powered by WordPress.